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Crown Green Handicap

Nick Kavanagh

Team: Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

783

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

72

Matches Played

30

Wins

42

Losses

42%

Win Rate

6.2

Avg Win Margin

9.4

Avg Loss Margin

22-10

Home Record

8-32

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
63 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/12/2026

A large recent sample: 63 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins30/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 72 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

27 Jul1 Aug30 May25 Jul10 Jun5 Aug11 Jun12 Aug-1371115

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
46%
score-0.08→contribution-0.03
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
6.2
score-0.29→contribution-0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.2
score-0.20→contribution-0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
880
score-0.21→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.179
Sample Size Confidence
100%(63/33 matches)
Rating928 → shrunk 928→ adjusted 769
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)803
Recency Blend40% (63 recent matches)
Final Rating783
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

30W42L72 matches·41.7% win rate
+13 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B2021–2026Division B, Division C71304142.3%
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks2025Division A1010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/12/2026Tom HowardA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
8/6/2026Kath DaviesA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
7/30/2026Phil GordonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
7/28/2026Colin LitsterH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
7/23/2026Kevn JonesA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
7/21/2026Phillip McgunigallH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
7/2/2026Liam HowardH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
6/30/2026Julie KnightA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
6/25/2026Alan MathewsA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision B
6/16/2026Linda BiggsH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
6/11/2026Viv Schaus *A4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision B
6/9/2026Mike WalshH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
5/28/2026Sharon EllisA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
5/26/2026David MansfieldH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
5/21/2026Nigel WardH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
5/19/2026Clare Brady *A3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision B
5/14/2026Wendy Thompson **H21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision B
5/6/2026Ethel (etty) JonesA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
8/12/2025Phill JonesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
8/5/2025Dave KinsonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/29/2025Patricia HarrisonA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
7/24/2025John RobinsonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
7/22/2025Ross MilliganA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/15/2025Billy CottamA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/8/2025Ray PenkethH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
7/3/2025Graham WalkerA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
6/24/2025Phil MountfordH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
6/17/2025Ray PoustieH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
6/10/2025Sue MargerisonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
6/3/2025Charles WardA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
5/27/2025Kevin WalshH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
5/14/2025Andrew MeldrumA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision A
5/6/2025John RogersA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
8/20/2024Brian DentonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/6/2024Keith WhartonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
8/1/2024John NixonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
7/30/2024Deborah SilcockA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/25/2024George LowdenA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/16/2024Sue LawsonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/9/2024Phillip McgunigallA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/4/2024Nigel WardH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/2/2024Sioux McgookinH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/25/2024Neal SleemanA0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision C
6/18/2024Jeff LawleyH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/11/2024Andrew DobsonH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
6/5/2024vs Bromborough Social ClubA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
5/30/2024David CruickshankH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/28/2024Sue LawsonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
5/21/2024Colin LitsterH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
5/16/2024Rob DobbyA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
5/15/2024vs Pensby CA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
8/24/2023Phillip McgunigallH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
8/17/2023Kevin JonesH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
8/10/2023Michael DabbsA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
8/3/2023Bobbie JamiesonH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
8/1/2023Steve BallA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/27/2023Keith BarlowA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
7/13/2023Nigel WardA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/6/2023Dot RowlandsH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/28/2023vs Oxton Cons CA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/13/2023Ian ProctorA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
6/8/2023Allan ClarkeH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
5/25/2023Alan MawbyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
7/29/2021Robert McguiganA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/27/2021Jean ClarkH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
7/21/2021vs Pensby CA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
7/20/2021Maureen MillerH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
7/15/2021Paul DraperA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/8/2021Phillip CorcoranA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
6/17/2021Nicky BaileyA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
6/8/2021Thomas RichardsH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
5/18/2021Paul BlackwellA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
Leverhulme Cup6 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJohn RogersTixall6-21LOSSLOST
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPaul BlackwellSea Dog21-17WINWON
Quarters RoundTom HowardLever Club13-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTom JamesThingwall10-21LOSSLOST
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundVic AlcockLedsham Royal6-21LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundBrian SomervilleTixall8-21LOSSLOST
Geoff Clare Trophy4 games · 1W
20243 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundStuart WorthingtonHeswall Rbl B9-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundBeryl BellBromborough Pool B20-21LOSSWON
Final RoundGeorge SaxtonBebington Park8-21LOSSLOST
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Semi Final RoundMark ProctorRoyden Hall21-14WINWON
Andy Dawson Cup2 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundSteve CliffeOxton Cons3-21LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundKevin WalshHeswall Rbl B19-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

5losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1050% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Phillip Mcgunigall21366.7%7/21/2026
Nigel Ward21366.7%5/21/2026
Colin Litster0220%7/28/2026
Sue Lawson11250%7/16/2024
Pensby C0220%5/15/2024
Tom Howard0110%8/12/2026
Kath Davies0110%8/6/2026
Phil Gordon0110%7/30/2026
Kevn Jones0110%7/23/2026
Liam Howard101100%7/2/2026
Biggest Win
Andrew Dobson (+15)6/11/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Neal Sleeman (-21)6/25/2024
Best Season
202358% · 12 matches
Worst Season
202439% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
39% → 44%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
86963 known · 9 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-90% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
28-2652% win rate

By Division

Division C15-24 (38%)
Division B15-17 (47%)
Division A0-1 (0%)
Division A0%
0W·1L·1 played
Division B46.9%
15W·17L·32 played
Division C38.5%
15W·24L·39 played

Debut

May 18, 2021

Latest

Aug 12, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (5.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.4 (72 total)

Seasons

20212023202420252026